The Miami Marlins (-145) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Marlins vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 53-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 58-62 ATS.
Marlins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Athletics Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday's matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+9.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.20 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 55-65 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -12.73% ROI).
- 53-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -12.7% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -13.66% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 5.62% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-62 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -10.94% ROI).
- 43-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -14.26% ROI
- 51-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -14.92% ROI
- 64-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 6.04% ROI
Pablo Lopez: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (134/342) against Pablo Lopez when he's behind in the count since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 25% – 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (88/217) against Pablo Lopez when he's behind in the count this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% – 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (215/479) with runners in scoring position this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% – 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (163/551) on the first pitch of at-bats this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% – 100th Percentile.
Zach Logue: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Logue allowed an OPS of 1.351 (21 PA's) – highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .652 – 0 Percentile.
Zach Logue has allowed a slugging percentage of .737 (28 Total Bases / 38 ABs) this month (2 games) – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .393 – 0 Percentile.
Zach Logue has an ERA of 12.10 (9.2 IP)this month (2 games) – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 3.76 – 0 Percentile.
Zach Logue has allowed an OPS of 1.181 (45 PA's) this month (2 games) – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .701 – 0 Percentile.