The Miami Marlins (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Marlins are 32-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 46-45 ATS.

Marlins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Bryan Hoeing 0-1, 2.02 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 7-5, 3.83 ERA

Marlins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+19.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+3.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+14.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.50 Units / 64% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 41-50 against the Run Line (-23.61 Units / -19.49% ROI).

• 32-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -20.58% ROI
• 47-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.4% ROI
• 42-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -8.96% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 46-45 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 1.65% ROI).

• 47-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -7.26% ROI
• 35-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.45 Units / -22.6% ROI
• 53-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.55 Units / 14.41% ROI

Astros vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of 1.070 (151 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the 2022 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .715 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (21/64) against Bryan Hoeing this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .812 (455 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .673 — second Percentile.

Bryan Hoeing has allowed a slugging percentage of .490 (202 Total Bases / 412 ABs) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (167/270) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 75% (49/65) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .300 (186 Total Bases / 619 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (556/1,347) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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