The Seattle Mariners (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 56-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 51-54 ATS.
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 away games (+21.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 51 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 56 games at home (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+11.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+11.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.85 Units / 111% ROI)
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Josh Donaldson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Luis Castillo | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -105 |
Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -155 | 7.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+18.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 49 games at home (+15.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 53-52 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- 56-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 6.7% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -7.32% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.86% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-54 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -4.29% ROI).
- 70-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 5.69% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -7.08% ROI
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 50% (35 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last seven games — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 9.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .318 (100 Total Bases / 314 ABs) this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (231/392) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (57/149) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (230/594) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 39% (80/205) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
53% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.