The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Mariners are 36-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-24 ATS.

Mariners vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-5, 3.77 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 4-4, 3.22 ERA

Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+15.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 68% ROI)
• Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 49% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+12.55 Units / 78% ROI)
• Nelson Velazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.04 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+15.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 32-34 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -6% ROI).

• 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.71% ROI
• 24-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -25.92% ROI
• 39-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +12 Units / 16.53% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 41-24 against the Run Line (+12.44 Units / 13.62% ROI).

• 39-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 19.16% ROI
• 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -10.37% ROI
• 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.42% ROI

Royals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has walked 7 of 301 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 2 of 117 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 1 of 151 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 10 of 394 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cole Ragans has a strike rate of 66% when ahead in the count (tied for ninth highest)– 89th Percentile and 64% when behind in the count this season (lowest among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .522 (12 GB hits out of 23 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (177/530) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (79/244) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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