Mariners vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20
Mariners vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20

The Seattle Mariners (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+155) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Mariners are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 9-10 ATS.

Mariners vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Mariners vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jake Cave has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.90 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 143 games (+8.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 8-11 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -13.33% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -12.07% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -34.21% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 25.48% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -12.04% ROI).

  • 4-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -45.14% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -9.13% ROI

Opponents are hitting .337 (32-for-95) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for highest among in MLB; League Avg: .227 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .337 (32-for-95) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .276 (16-for-58) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — third Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .429 (21-for-49) against Luis Castillo this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (54 SO in 428 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .438 (7-for-16) against Dakota Hudson when going through the lineup the first time in a game — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 16 double plays in 76 opportunities (21%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (134 SO in 1,023 PAs) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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