Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23

The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mariners are 84-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 81-71 ATS.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Evan Carter 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Nate Lowe 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Evan Carter 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Nate Lowe 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Evan Carter 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Nate Lowe 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Miller 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
Dane Dunning 5.5 +105 5.5 -135

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+16.69 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 39 away games (+16.17 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+12.69 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 144 games (+20.69 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 144 games (+16.43 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games at home (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+13.63 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 73-79 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -5.59% ROI).

  • 84-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -2.17% ROI
  • 77-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.09% ROI
  • 70-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -14 Units / -8.41% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 81-71 against the Run Line (+10.4 Units / 5.54% ROI).

  • 84-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 81-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 5.63% ROI
  • 65-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.8 Units / -14.26% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (23/61) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a just .281 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 88th Percentile and .705 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .432 (19-for-44) against Bryce Miller over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 66% of the time (397/606) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .283 (332 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (52/248) against Dane Dunning with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 10th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has induced opposing hitters to ground into 20 double plays in 107 opportunities (19%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article