The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 62-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 64-49 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 42 away games (+24.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 away games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 74 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 52 games at home (+14.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 56 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.23 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 102 games (+18.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 74 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games (+0.62 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-57 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 62-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 7.1% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -3.37% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 64-49 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 7.1% ROI).
- 50-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -8.82% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -9.68% ROI
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .444 (24-for-54) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (267/1,042) against Logan Gilbert this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 138 of Logan Gilbert’s 557 off-speed pitches out of the zone (25%) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (27 Total Bases / 27 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .407 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .155 (16-for-103) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (20 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .419 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 23% (29 SO in 128 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (206/397) against Martin Perez this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.