The Seattle Mariners (-200) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+165) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 61-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 63-48 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 40 away games (+22.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 away games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 72 games (+14.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games at home (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 54 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+19.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 100 games (+18.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 72 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 57-56 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -4.97% ROI).
- 61-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.51% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 63-48 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 6.97% ROI).
- 49-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -8.97% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.55% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.92% ROI
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .362 (38 GB hits out of 105 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .585 (62 Total Bases / 106 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 56.0.
Opponents are hitting .330 (35-for-106) against George Kirby’s curve and slider this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Joshua Sborz: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .327 (18-for-55) against Josh Sborz’s elevated fastball since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .201 — fourth Percentile.
70% of Josh Sborz’s fastball strikeouts are located away since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Josh Sborz has a strike rate of just 59% (237/398) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 12th lowest among among 143 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
47% of Josh Sborz’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 91st Percentile.