The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+100) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Mariners vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 10-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 9-14 ATS.
Mariners vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+15.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+11.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 9-13 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -17.87% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -16.33% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 8.16% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -17.5% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 9-14 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -31.12% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -13.68% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.4% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .059 (51 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Logan Gilbert’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .041 (2-for-49) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .172 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .478 (43-for-90) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .339 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (10/75) against Bailey Falter this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 27% (12 SO in 45 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (12 SO in 88 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.