The Seattle Mariners (-145) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 49-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 48-46 ATS.
Mariners vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 5-5, 2.93 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Adam Mazur 1-2, 7.53 ERA
Mariners vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+17.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+17.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+37.30 Units / 266% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+13.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.20 Units / 140% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+9.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 41-51 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -12.89% ROI).
- 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 37-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.15 Units / -18.26% ROI
- 51-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.15 Units / 10.03% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 48-46 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 3.29% ROI).
- 49-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 51-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 5.17% ROI
- 42-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -13.92% ROI
Padres vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Adam Mazur (SD) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 51 opportunities (26%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 49% of the time (139/286) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .222 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .199 (84-for-422) against Logan Gilbert this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Mazur has limited playing time.