The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+135) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mariners are 44-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 31-43 ATS.

Mariners vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 6-5, 3.31 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 1-8, 5.12 ERA

Mariners vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 away games (+20.40 Units / 170% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+19.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+18.10 Units / 226% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 65 games (+2.20 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+2.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.20 Units / 14% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 37-40 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -6.57% ROI).

• 44-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 4.67% ROI
• 30-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -21.2% ROI
• 44-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 12.63% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 31-43 against the Run Line (-26.26 Units / -25.79% ROI).

• 25-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -26.36% ROI
• 39-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 2.7% ROI
• 34-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -10.31% ROI

Marlins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has walked 21 of 639 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 11 of 412 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 50 of 1,649 batters (3%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 9 of 350 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 41% (20/49) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 48% (129/269) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 27% (53/195) against Trevor Rogers on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 48% (129/269) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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