The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-110) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Mariners are 44-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 40-31 ATS.

Mariners vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 6-7, 3.33 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 5.47 ERA

Mariners vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 away games (+21.40 Units / 195% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+14.30 Units / 44% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Dylan Moore has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 47 games (+32.10 Units / 68% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+16.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 64 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+14.62 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 37-39 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -4.74% ROI).

• 44-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 5.73% ROI
• 29-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -22.73% ROI
• 44-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 13.98% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 40-31 against the Run Line (+13.15 Units / 15.24% ROI).

• 45-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.62 Units / 15.8% ROI
• 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -1.59% ROI
• 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -6.64% ROI

Guardians vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .141 (14-for-99) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 86th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (135/414) against Luis Castillo this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.

44% of Luis Castillo’s called strikeouts are elevated this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 6 of 135 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (68 Total Bases / 102 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .422 — first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .626 (67 Total Bases / 107 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .387 — first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (93 Total Bases / 172 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .382 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/51) against Logan Allen with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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