The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Mariners are 43-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 39-30 ATS.

Mariners vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 5-5, 3.50 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 3-3, 4.09 ERA

Mariners vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+17.10 Units / 190% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+14.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 78% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 45% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 62 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 69 games (+15.02 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+12.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 36-38 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -4.23% ROI).

• 43-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 5.64% ROI
• 27-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -25.88% ROI
• 44-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.9 Units / 17.06% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 39-30 against the Run Line (+12.7 Units / 15.07% ROI).

• 44-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.02 Units / 16.76% ROI
• 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -4.25% ROI
• 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.91% ROI

Guardians vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has allowed a BABIP of .171 vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (57-for-297) against Bryce Miller this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (33/94) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Triston McKenzie had a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (8/22) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 38 of 296 batters (13%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 21 of 147 right-handed batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed a slugging percentage of .769 (20 Total Bases / 26 ABs) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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