The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mariners vs Cubs Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mariners are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 5-4 ATS.

Mariners vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+4.40 Units / 84% ROI)
• Curt Casali has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nick Madrigal has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Cubs vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -5.26% ROI).

• 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 13.99% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -21.81% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 5-4 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 11.11% ROI).

• 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.66% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 5% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -15.74% ROI

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 65% (11/17) against Chris Flexen when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 33% (6/18) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .309 (88-for-285) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .187 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (12-for-30) against Chris Flexen in close and late situations since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .242 — fourth Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (5/39) against Hayden Wesneski this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OPS of 1.186 (20 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .745 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .353 (6-for-17) against Hayden Wesneski this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .255 — eighth Percentile.

  
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