The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mariners are 72-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-70 ATS.
Mariners vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 11-12, 3.61 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-10, 5.30 ERA
Mariners vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 27 games (+24.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+31.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 away games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 46 away games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 60 of their last 110 games (+3.35 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 72 games (+5.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 61-82 against the Run Line (-25.15 Units / -14.1% ROI).
- 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -9.45% ROI
- 63-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 73-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.45% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 72-70 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -3.02% ROI).
- 72-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 67-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -6.05% ROI
- 69-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -3.22% ROI
Cardinals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .419 (152 Total Bases / 363 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .195 (66-for-338) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .210 (109-for-520) against Luis Castillo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 84th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 11 of 261 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (164 Total Bases / 303 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (98/643) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .304 (92-for-303) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (63/458) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.