Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 6
Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 6

The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Mariners are 71-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 71-69 ATS.

Mariners vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 10-8, 3.32 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-8, 3.43 ERA

Mariners vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games (+26.30 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+33.50 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.90 Units / 53% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 56 away games (+17.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 away games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 60-81 against the Run Line (-25.7 Units / -14.57% ROI).

  • 71-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -9.4% ROI
  • 63-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -9.9% ROI
  • 72-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.84% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 71-69 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -2.68% ROI).

  • 71-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -4.49% ROI
  • 67-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -5.36% ROI
  • 68-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -3.92% ROI

Cardinals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Cardinals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Miller (SEA) 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Erick Fedde (STL) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (67/235) against Bryce Miller this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (14-for-83) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (119-for-571) against Bryce Miller this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 87th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (33/191) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 52% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (411/788) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (453/788) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/96) against Erick Fedde on breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (468/935) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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