The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mariners are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-3 ATS.

Mariners vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 1-0, 5.07 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 1-0, 1.80 ERA

Mariners vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+7.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 68% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 85% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 3-6 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -26.2% ROI).

• 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -20.35% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -2.55% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.48% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 4-3 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.69% ROI).

• 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 38.22% ROI
• 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -16.23% ROI
• 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 10.26% ROI

Brewers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Emerson Hancock has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 23 PAs) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (5/19) against Emerson Hancock this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Emerson Hancock has struck out just 6% (1/18) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.

Emerson Hancock has allowed an OPS of just .410 (18 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .703 — 87th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of just .460 (85 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .773 — 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of just .458 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has not allowed a hit to any of the last 26 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Lucas Erceg has the longest active streak at 43.

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of .994 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — fourth Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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