Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 28
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 28

The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mariners vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mariners are 11-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 15-10 ATS.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.30 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
AJ Pollock 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
AJ Pollock 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
AJ Pollock 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 5.5 -110 5.5 -115
Luis Castillo 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.50 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 56% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 11-14 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -12.15% ROI).

  • 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -18.23% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.69% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -12.11% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 15-10 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 12.42% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 13.27% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -23.2% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 13.62% ROI

Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of just .431 (112 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — 98th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .214 (112 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 96th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 1 of 55 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .164 (55 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alek Manoah has walked 16 of 121 batters (13%) this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Alek Manoah has a strike rate of just 57% (146/255) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .168 (95-for-567) against Alek Manoah since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.

  
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