The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Mariners are 81-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 79-78 ATS.

Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 8-11, 3.25 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 14-7, 2.84 ERA

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 32 games (+29.50 Units / 92% ROI)
• Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.40 Units / 191% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 away games (+19.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 away games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 140 games (+19.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 69-88 against the Run Line (-22.8 Units / -11.56% ROI).

• 81-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -7.22% ROI
• 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -6.3% ROI
• 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -1.74% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-78 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 1.43% ROI).

• 85-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -4.72% ROI
• 64-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.25 Units / -19.37% ROI
• 89-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.15 Units / 10.43% ROI

Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .179 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .242 (65 Total Bases / 269 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .226 (421 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 98th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .421 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (278/453) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .552 (800 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (74/109) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,044/2,508) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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