The Seattle Mariners (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Monday, September 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Mariners are 80-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 79-77 ATS.

Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 11-8, 3.08 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-8, 3.58 ERA

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+30.50 Units / 98% ROI)
• Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games (+10.55 Units / 151% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+17.35 Units / 59% ROI)
• Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.35 Units / 53% ROI)
• Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 62 away games (+20.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 139 games (+18.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 98 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+10.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 68-88 against the Run Line (-23.8 Units / -12.18% ROI).

• 80-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.05 Units / -7.78% ROI
• 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -5.69% ROI
• 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -2.34% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-77 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 1.96% ROI).

• 85-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -4.18% ROI
• 64-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.15 Units / -18.85% ROI
• 88-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.15 Units / 9.92% ROI

Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .232 (310 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 96th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .241 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 93rd Percentile and .558 vs left-handed batters last season (sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (67/230) against Hunter Brown on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (tied for fifth lowest)– 10th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (seventh highest among qualified SPs)– 88th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.1 MPH (454 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.6 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .128 (45-for-352) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 92nd Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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