The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Mariners are 17-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 11-20 ATS.

Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 3-2, 3.59 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 3-0, 1.67 ERA

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mariners vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+13.20 Units / 165% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Mitch Garver has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+9.35 Units / 96% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+19.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+13.80 Units / 106% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 66 of their last 118 games (+7.21 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 15-16 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -1.47% ROI
• 6-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -58.36% ROI
• 23-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.3 Units / 49.1% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 11-20 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -22.75% ROI).

• 11-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.05 Units / -35.2% ROI
• 10-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -31.2% ROI
• 19-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 22.98% ROI

Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has struck out 61% (14/23) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has a strike rate of 72% (380/530) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 12 of 333 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (7/82) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (7/82) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (19/46) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of just .207 (23 Total Bases / 111 ABs) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
Read Full Article