The Seattle Mariners (+155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 54-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 53-48 ATS.
Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +115 |
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 50-51 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -6.62% ROI).
- 54-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 5.93% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.22% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 53-48 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 5.77% ROI).
- 66-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 37-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.45 Units / -24.91% ROI
- 60-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.1 Units / 16.99% ROI
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (533/878) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (164/303) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (116/341) against Chris Flexen this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 40% of the time (401/1,001) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (226/337) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (76/112) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (196/284) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Framber Valdez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 376.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 399.4