The Seattle Mariners (-165) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+140) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 51-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 51-41 ATS.
Mariners vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 7-9, 3.72 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+17.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+17.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 29 games (+20.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+11.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 43-51 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -10.81% ROI).
- 51-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.62% ROI
- 38-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -17.96% ROI
- 52-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 9.72% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 51-41 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -3.29% ROI).
- 38-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -8% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.07% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -6.01% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo allowed a batting average of just .195 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 85th Percentile and .284 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .411 (97 Total Bases / 236 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 38 of 468 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 20th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .259 (467 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 86th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game