The Seattle Mariners (-105) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-115) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 62-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 55-60 ATS.
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 70.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 away games (+22.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 44 games (+26.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+18.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-58 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4.2% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 55-60 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -6.44% ROI).
- 51-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.1 Units / -17.34% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -10.8% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.9% ROI
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last nine games — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.
Opponents are hitting just .196 (71-for-363) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .135 (12-for-89) against Luis Castillo when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 48% (39 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.908 (92 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.098 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.180 (59 total bases in 50 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .608 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.755 (221 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.149 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (130/327) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.