Arsenal's 4-0 win over Wolves on Wednesday moved them five points clear of Manchester City in the Premier League title race. Pep Guardiola's side can close the gap to two points with a win over Newcastle in Saturday's early kick-off.
The Magpies lost 2-0 to Manchester United in the EFL Cup final last weekend, and haven't won a game since January. City have won their last 13 Premier League home games against Newcastle, which makes the Toon's challenge even more daunting.
Here is our best Manchester City vs. Newcastle pick (odds via Caesars; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Manchester City vs. Newcastle pick
The best attack in the Premier League faces the competition's best defense on Saturday. Manc hester City have scored 64 goals in the league so far this season. Newcastle have conceded just 15. However, they haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last three league matches. The last time City failed to score against Newcastle in the Premier League was in 2006.
Despite only losing twice in the competition all season, the Magpies haven't won in four Premier League games. No team has drawn more than Newcastle (11) during the current campaign. The match between these two teams in August finished 3-3.
Manchester City needs this win to close the gap on Arsenal and put pressure on the Gunners ahead of their respective game with Bournemouth. City played in the FA Cup on Tuesday, and despite a few changes to the starting XI, they may be lethargic for this early kick-off. This could create a few opportunities for Newcastle to score, but I do expect City to flex their muscle and take the win. Phil Fo den is in fine form, and Erling Haaland is already on 27 Premier League goals for the season.
Manchester City vs. Newcastle best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| Both teams to score, Man City win | Both teams to score, Man City win | Both teams to score, Man City win | Both teams to score, Man City win | Both teams to score, Man City win |
| +175 | +195 | +200 | +210 | +200 |
The price is too low to play City as a SU bet. Newcastle United are capable of scoring, and they'll be keen to get their push for a top-four finish back on track after their EFL Cup heartbreak last weekend. But City will have too much for the Magpies going forward. As much as Newcastle can trouble them, City will have more on the offensive front. They're heading into must-win territory, and they have the experience to win these key matches.
Manchester City vs. Newcastle odds analysis
Manchester City are the heavy favorites for this match, with the best moneyline odds at -210 via DraftKings and FanDuel. Each of our other main books price City at -225 SU. The line is at 1.5, which shows how much the books fancy City to win on Saturday. If you think they can make the two goals up and cover against the league's best defense, the odds are +12 5 at PointsBet. Alternatively, Newcastle are -150 ATS (+1.5) via Caesars.
The best price for Erling Haaland anytime goal scorer is -140 at FanDuel. DraftKings has Haaland as low as -190 for this play. Phil Foden has scored three goals in his last two games in all competitions, he's +220 to score in this match. Those odds are via PointsBet, Caesars and FanDuel.
Manchester City vs. Newcastle game info
- Date: Saturday, Mar. 4, 7:30 a.m. ET
- TV: USA Network, nbcsports.com
- Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Weather: 45 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 3 mph winds
Manchester City-Newcastle pick made 03/03/2023 at 11:45 a.m. ET.
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