Arsenal, tied for first in the standings with 64 points, travel to face Manchester City, third with 63 points, in a pivotal EPL encounter that could have a significant bearing on the title, and we make our Manchester City vs. Arsenal prediction based on the best Premier League odds.
The looming showdown between Arsenal and Manchester City on Sunday, March 31, has the makings of a memorable encounter.
Arsenal enters having not lost in the Premier League since the start of 2024, with eight consecutive victories under their belt. However, the Etihad Stadium is a tall task. Manchester City has maintained an unbeaten streak in their fortress in 25 top-flight matches since the 2022-23 season. Under Pep Guardiola's leadership, City boasts a commendable home record, with 14 undefeated games in the current campaign (10 wins, 4 draws).
A few appealing contender picks pop off the pa ge, including both teams to score, which DraftKings offers at -140. That's a reliable option considering Arsenal's scoring streak in six consecutive away games and City's record of only three clean sheets in their last 11 home matches, but the odds are just too short. A potentially more lucrative bet, available at +135 on DraftKings, is for City to secure victory while netting at least two goals.
Accompanying our Premier League Title Odds 2024, here is our best Manchester City vs. Arsenal prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Manchester City vs. Arsenal game info
- Date: March 31, 2024, 11:30 a.m. ET
- TV: Fubo (Canada), Peacock Premium (U.S.)
- Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
- Weather: 13C, slightly overcast
- Favorite: Manchester City (-105)
Manchester City vs. Arsenal odds
Odds via DraftKings
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | -105 | -0.5 (-115) |
| Arsenal | +290 | +0.5 (-120) |
Manchester City vs. Arsenal prediction
Best odds: -108 via FanDuel
As sure as the sun will rise, Manchester City will be on the front foot for a large portion of its home matches, regardless of the opponent. City, which hasn't lost in over 16 months at home in the Premier League, is an indomitable beast at the Etihad Stadium. However, Arsenal has been exceptional on its travels, taking 29 points from a possible 42, tied with City for the league's best away record.
While City will probably prevail in nip-and-tuck affair, we've decided to make the most of the corners market. With at least six corners in 10 straight league home matches, City averages 10.2 corners per contest at the Etihad. Arsenal is an excellent defensive side, but City should have enough sustained pressure throughout the match to bust through the 5.5-corner threshold.&nbs p;
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Manchester City vs. Arsenal odds analysis
At -108, FanDuel offers the best value of our best sports betting sites. BetMGM and DraftKings offer -125 odds for the same pick. While we don't expect the lines on the corner market to shift considerably, expect FanDuel to lengthen its odds slightly before Sunday's kickoff.
A winning $10 wager at FanDuel would pay out $19.26, $9.26 of which is profit. The implied probability of the -108 odds is 51.92%, while a winning $10 bet at -125, offered at DraftKings and BetMGM, would pay out $18. The implied probability of those odds is 55.56%.
Manchester City vs. Arsenal prediction made Friday at 11:30 a.m. ET.
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