I ran this article near the end of last season and thought it would be a good idea to publish it again as there wasn't a whole lot of time to take advantage of the findings with much of the '22 season having been completed. Now, bettors can employ the logic for a longer period of time. Plus, the majority of these foundation angles do not occur frequently, so we want to be sure to capitalize when they do, as all are very profitable.
Over the course of a six-month, 162-game Major League Baseball schedule, a lot of extreme statistical performances can arise for each team. Whether it be the number of runs they score in any given game, the hits or home runs they produce or the rare extremes that their pitching staffs can generate, these oddities just happen, and of course, for some teams more than others. Do these rare happenings have any carryover effect for the follow-up game? That's something I set out to uncover as I analyzed extreme betting systems in MLB.
Using some foundation principles as the basis for them, take a look at these seven betting concepts I was able to uncover in August last season after analyzing my MLB database for the prior 5 seasons.
1. Home teams off blowout losses are solid bets to rebound versus that same opponent
Teams playing at home against the same team after a blowout loss of seven runs or more have been solid wagers over the last 4 seasons, going 250-218 (53.4%) for 45.66 units of profit. This represents an R.O.I. of 9.7%. In football, it's called “any given Sunday.” In baseball. it could easily be termed “any given day.” One blowout loss hasn't amounted to a whole lot for home teams, as they are easily able to rebound, outscoring the opponents 4.64-4.49 on average in this revenge spot.