After a poor NBA Finals debut, our Luka Doncic player props for NBA Finals Game 2 based on the best NBA odds assess whether the Dallas superstar will bounce back on Sunday.
The final stat line from Thursday's Game 1 shows 30 points for Luka Doncic, but it took 26 field goal attempts to get there. The Dallas Mavericks superstar finished with 10 rebounds and one assist in a 107-89 loss to the Boston Celtics.
Doncic is too talented not to bounce back. The better question is how can bettors attack his prop markets ahead of Sunday's Game 2, which tips off at 8 p.m. ET from TD Garden in Boston?
Here are our best Luka Doncic player props predictions for Sunday's NBA Finals Game 2 matchup.
Luka Doncic player props for Game 2
Odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- < b>Luka Doncic Under 8.5 assists (-125 via bet365) ????
- Luka Doncic Under 1.5 steals (-130 via DraftKings) ???
- Luka Doncic to be 3-pointers leader (+125 via FanDuel) ???
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My instinct was to bet on Doncic scoring more, but his points prop is already at a lofty 31.5 following Thursday's 30-point performance. So, fading his assists prop is the best alternative since those ideas are somewhat correlated.
Doncic only had one assist in Game 1, but it's not like the opportunities were entirely there. He had seven potential assists in the lopsided loss, well below his postseason average of 14.6 potential assists per contest.
With a projection of 8.1 assists, this Under should be priced closer to -142. This bet is worth making at -130 or better, though most of our best sportsbooks have already made such a movement. These -125 odds from bet365 pay out $8 in profit on a $10 wager, per our odds converter, which is the best value on the market.
Best odds: -125 via bet365
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Price shopping is the best way to set yourself up for success; this prop market helps illustrate that.
Most of our best sports betting sites list the Under on 1.5 steals for Doncic between -140 and -167. DraftKings is offering an outlier with a -130 value, which pays out $7.69 for every $10 bet.
Doncic recorded multiple steals in Game 1, but we don't care about that. His hit rate on this prop is only 47% this year.
Best odds: -130 via DraftKings
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Most sites are offering special markets for the NBA Finals in an attempt to attract betting interest. It's up to bettors to assess the most valuable bets to make among these new options.
In this case, Doncic is as short as -150 to be the game's high scorer after leading the way in Game 1. I prefer betting on him to lead all players in 3-pointers – something he also accomplished in the opener.
Doncic shot 4-for-12 from long range, pacing the field in both makes and attempts. No other player attempted more than eight 3-pointers. Because DraftKings offers the same bet at -120, it's worth scooping up this +125 value at FanDuel.
Best odds: +125 via FanDuel
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Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 2 odds
Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 2 info
- When: Sunday, June 9
- Tip-off: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: TD Garden (Boston)
- How to watch: ABC
- Favorite: Celtics -7.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
Luka Doncic player props picks made Friday at 3:10 p.m. ET.
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