The Detroit Lions (9-5) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (7-4) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.
The Lions are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Lions vs. Vikings Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 16 game with 63.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 63.9% confidence.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).
- Lions are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 5.96% ROI
- Lions are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
- Lions are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings went 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 16.88% ROI).
- Vikings are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.86% ROI
- Vikings are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Vikings are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Lions are 10-7 (.588) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 246.0 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Lions are 19-6 (.760) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 49 times since the 2022 season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Lions are 10-1 (.909) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .590.
The Lions are 10-1 (.909) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 25 times this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Vikings are 13-7 (.650) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 7th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 236.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings were undefeated (8-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Vikings are winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .160.