The Detroit Lions (3-6) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (7-2) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.
The Giants are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Lions vs. Giants Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Giants Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this Week 11 game with 57.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 11 with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Lions Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Best Bets for Week 11:
- The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 86% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 5-4 (+0.5 Units / 5% ROI).
- Lions are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -27.04% ROI
- Lions are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Lions are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 7-2 (+4.9 Units / 50.78% ROI).
- Giants are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 86.04% ROI
- Giants are 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -57.79% ROI
- Giants are 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Lions are 2-13-1 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.
The Lions are 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Lions are 1-9-1 (.091) on the road since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.
The Lions are 2-3-1 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .733.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Giants are 5-1 (.833) when underdogs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .393.
The Giants are 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .410.