Two high-powered offenses face off Saturday when the Detroit Lions face the Dallas Cowboys in Week 17, and our Lions vs. Cowboys NFL player props for Week 17 based on the best NFL odds at the best sports betting apps expect the stars to shine at AT&T Stadium.
It's been a rough couple of weeks for the Dallas Cowboys (10-5), who held the NFC's top seed before losing two straight on the road. They'll return home in Week 17 for a date with the Detroit Lions (11-4) in a special Saturday edition of Monday Night Football.
The Cowboys have already clinched their NFL playoff odds but have struggled mightily against the NFL's top tier, as evidenced by those two losses to Super Bowl odds contenders entering Week 17. It's been a similar story for the Lions, who escaped the Minnesota Vikings last week to clinch the NFC North title.
In ad dition to our NFL Week 17 predictions and NFL Week 17 player props, including Mike Procter's Expert NFL Week 17 upsets, here are our best Lions vs. Cowboys player props for Saturday's Week 17 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Lions vs. Cowboys NFL player props: Week 17 (Saturday)
I highlighted this wager in my Week 17 NFL player props, where it earned a five-star endorsement ahead of Saturday's game. I'd recommend checking out that article for a more detailed breakdown of why I love this bet so much.
In short: Lamb has been a touchdown machine, scoring in seven straight games while ranking third among all receivers in total touchdowns (11). He's also scored eight of those at home, where the Cowboys offense is averaging 3.86 touchdowns per game (not including multiple defensive scores).
Now Lamb gets to tee off on a Lions pass defense that was already one of the NFL's worst before the injury to corner Jerry Jacobs (hamstring), who missed last week and could be limited this week. Even at full strength, Detroit has still allowed 18 touchdowns to opposing receivers, fourth-most in the league, and doesn't have an answer for Lamb in the slot.
With bet365 offering an outlier price of -138 on a prop dealing as short as -180 across our best sports betting sites, sign me up for another “TD Lamb” on Saturday.
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All of those aforementioned issues in the secondary that make me love that Lamb bet? They should spell a big day for Prescott, too, in a get-right spot for the Cowboys QB.
Prescott has admittedly waned since he led the NFL MVP odds th rough Week 14, but he's still the same quarterback who averaged 305.5 yards from Weeks 6 to 14 and threw for over 270 yards in seven of those eight games.
His struggles the last two weeks have come on the road, where the eighth-year QB has famously struggled throughout his career. Now he returns home to AT&T Stadium, where he's averaging 303.6 yards and cleared this prop total four times in seven starts.
Detroit's run defense is among the best in the NFL, but its pass defense ranks 32nd in EPA and 30th in success rate since Week 7. I'd expect Dallas coach Mike McCarthy to lean heavily on his Pro Bowl QB in a game the Cowboys can ill-afford to lose to keep pace in the NFC.
As an added bonus, this total is incredibly 10 yards lower at FanDuel than the consensus 285.5 across our other best sportsbooks. I'd expect Prescott to clear both marks, but this is a massive benefit for shopping arou nd.
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I've gone back and forth between highlighting this bet or Over 15.5 on Gibbs' longest rush, but the latter is only offered at FanDuel at a hefty -122 price. Truthfully, I'll be betting on both – but if you're only placing one wager on the Lions' electric back, make it this one.
I'm still scratching my head trying to figure out how the folks at DraftKings came up with this total for Gibbs, who is averaging 77 rushing yards since Week 7 while clearing this total in eight of those nine games. He ran for 80 yards last week against a stout Minnesota Vikings defense, which following a 100-yard effort the week before against the Denver Broncos.
Now he lines up across from this Cowboys front, which looks serviceable at a glance but ranks dead last in opponent success rate on rushing plays. Dallas has been gashed for 100-plus yards in six of the last eight weeks, and it'll be without defensive tackle Johnathan Hankins, who wasn't on the field when the Buffalo Bills ran roughshod for 266 yards two weeks ago.
Good luck stopping Gibbs, who leads the league in yards per carry (5.7) and yards after contact (2.6) and has the second-best broken tackle rate in the league. I wouldn't worry too much about game script, either: three of Gibbs' four highest snap shares came in losses, and he rushed for 50-plus yards in all three of those games.
I wouldn't mind sprinkling a little on Gibbs to lead this game in rushing yards (+235 at DraftKings), but I'll certainly be betting his yardage and longest rush props, too.
Lions-Cowboys player props made Friday at 1:45 p.m. ET.
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