The Detroit Lions (4-1) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Tampa.
The Lions are betting favorites in this Week 6 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Lions vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Buccaneers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 6 game with 58.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this Week 6 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Lions are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 23.61% ROI
- Lions are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Lions are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 81.61% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Buccaneers are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Lions are 3-11 (.214) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.
The Lions are 2-16 (.111) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Lions are 4-1 (.800) this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Lions are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Buccaneers are undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .656.
The Buccaneers are 9-1 (.900) after a road win since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .544.
The Buccaneers are 12-1 (.923) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .614.