Lions vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 14
Lions vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 14

The Detroit Lions (8-4) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (5-5) on Dec. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Lions are betting favorites in this Week 14 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Lions vs. Bears Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 14 game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.


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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this Week 14 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)

  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+2.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 8-4 (+3.65 Units / 27.76% ROI).

  • Lions are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 8.93% ROI
  • Lions are 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Lions are 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears went 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -3.75% ROI).

  • Bears are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -19.69% ROI
  • Bears are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Bears are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Lions are 9-1 (.900) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Bears have turned the ball over 22 times this season — fourth-most in NFL.

The Lions are 16-8 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 1.3 sacks per game over that time span — worst in NFL.

The Lions are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — third-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 1.4 sacks per game over that time span — worst in NFL.

The Lions are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .292.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Bears are winless (0-5) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Bears are winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.

The Bears are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .498.

The Bears are winless (0-6) after a win since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .523.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears

  
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