The Liberty Flames (11-0) visit Sun Bowl Stadium to take on the UTEP Miners (3-8) on Nov. 25 in El Paso.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -17 (-110).
The Liberty vs. UTEP Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Liberty vs UTEP Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 90.2% confidence.
Liberty vs UTEP Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and UTEP, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 24% ROI)
UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 2 games at home (+2.20 Units / 110% ROI)
Best Liberty Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Liberty players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- CJ Daniels has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Treon Sibley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best UTEP Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UTEP players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeremiah Ballard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Torrance Burgess Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Gavin Hardison has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyrin Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).
- Liberty is 11-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 13.85% ROI
- Liberty is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Liberty is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- UTEP is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -31.32% ROI
- UTEP is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- UTEP is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Liberty is undefeated (10-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .409
Liberty is 14-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .438
Liberty is undefeated (10-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .447
Liberty is undefeated (10-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .454
UTEP was winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459
UTEP is winless (0-6) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .230
UTEP is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 8th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .413
UTEP is 3-13 (.188) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .392
UTEP’s WRs has gained 1,649 yards on 103 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — tied for 14th-best among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for 13th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s WRs has 103 receptions in 10 games (just 10.3 per game) this season — tied for 30th-worst among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game this season — tied for 24th-worst among FBS defenses.