The Liberty Flames (9-4) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (9-3) on Jan. 1 in Glendale, AZ.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).
The Liberty vs. Oregon Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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Liberty vs Oregon Prediction, Fiesta Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this bowl game with 95.0% confidence.
Liberty vs Oregon Spread Prediction, Fiesta Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 75.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Oregon, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Liberty players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Liberty Player Prop Bets Today
- CJ Daniels has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Frith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Treon Sibley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Troy Franklin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 9-4 against the spread this college football season (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).
- Liberty is 13-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 14.09% ROI
- Liberty is 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- Liberty is 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 10-3 against the spread this college football season (+6.7 Units / 46.69% ROI).
- Oregon is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 3.46% ROI
- Oregon is 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- Oregon is 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Liberty is undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .428
Liberty is undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .382
Liberty is 20-1 (.870) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .463
Liberty is undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .419
Oregon is 7-2 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .410
Oregon is 14-3 (.700) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415
Oregon was 5-1 (.833) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409
Oregon is 27-6 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .544
Oregon’s TEs has 61 receptions in 12 games (5.1 per game) this season — best among Pac-12 TEs. Liberty’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has 61 receptions in 12 games (5.1 per game) this season — best among Pac-12 TEs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.