The Liberty Flames (1-0) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Las Cruces, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Liberty vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Liberty vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and New Mexico State and key player performances this season.
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Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Liberty players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Liberty Player Prop Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Liberty is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 28.57% ROI
- New Mexico State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378
Liberty was undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427
Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .404
Liberty was undefeated (7-0) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
New Mexico State is 11-5 (.524) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .420
New Mexico State was 7-3 (.583) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
New Mexico State was 7-2 (.636) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
New Mexico State is 8-3 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .486
New Mexico State had just 189.3 receiving yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed 254.8 receiving yards per game last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State had 200 receptions in 15 games (just 13.3 per game) last season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed 21.4 receptions per game last season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.