The Liberty Flames (8-1) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on the UConn Huskies (5-5) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in East Hartford.
Liberty are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Liberty vs. Connecticut is 45 total points.
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Liberty vs Connecticut Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 62% confidence.
Liberty vs Connecticut Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Connecticut, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.79 Units / 42% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Connecticut Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+14.15 Units / 118% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.75 Units / 62% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.63% ROI).
- Liberty is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 36.77% ROI
- Liberty is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Liberty is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Connecticut has gone 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).
- Connecticut is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 101.15% ROI
- Connecticut is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI
- Connecticut is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI
Liberty is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .552
Liberty is 10-4 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .420
Liberty is 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .497