The Liberty Flames visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Buffalo.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Liberty vs. Buffalo U Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Liberty vs Buffalo U Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 62.1% confidence.
Liberty vs Buffalo U Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Buffalo U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Buffalo U Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Liberty is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 28.99% ROI
- Liberty is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Liberty is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Buffalo U is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Buffalo U is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Buffalo U is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Liberty is 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .398
Liberty is 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .559
Liberty is 12-7 (.632) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .421
Liberty is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .531
There are no Keys to the Game notes available for this game
Buffalo’s WRs has 227 receptions in 15 games (15.1 per game) since the 2022 season — 29th-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s WRs has 36 receptions in 2 games (18.0 per game) this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 12.5 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.