The'2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs'continue on Monday, April 24, including Game 4 of the Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning series.
- Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game 4 Info
- Maple Leafs vs Lightning Odds & Spread
- Maple Leafs vs Lightning Betting Trends
- Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction & Pick
- Maple Leafs vs Lightning Best Bet
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game 4 Info
- Series:'TOR leads 2-1
- Date:'Monday, April 24, 2023
- Time:'7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue:'Amalie Arena — Tampa Bay, FL
- Coverage:'TBS
Game 3 between these rivals wasn't without theatrics. The Lightning were on their way to a 2-1 series lead before Maple Leafs center Ryan O'Reilly tied the game, 3-3, with one minute left in regulation. O'Reilly then assisted on Moran Rielly's overtime game-winning goal, giving Toronto the 4-3 win and a 2-1 series lead.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Odds & Spread
- Moneyline:'TOR: (-114) | TBL: (-105)
- Spread:'TOR: -1.5 (+202) | TBL: +1.5 (-250)
- Total:'6.5 — Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)
The Maple Leafs enter this contest as road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 6.5 goals with the Under being favored at -118 odds.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Betting Trends
- Toronto is 4-1 straight up in its last five games against Tampa Bay.
- Tampa Bay is 2-7 straight up in its last nine games against the Atlantic Division.
- The total has hit the over in four of Toronto's last five games.
- The total has hit the over in each of Tampa Bay's la st nine home games against Toronto.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction & Pick
As talented as the Lightning are, I'm not sure if they can even the series tonight. For starters, they're not getting strong play from goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy. The former Vezina Trophy winner has a .853 save percentage and a 4.22 goals-against average through the first three games. By comparison, Toronto's Ilya Samsonov has played to a .918 SV% and 2.17 GAA in the last two.
Furthermore, the Lightning's special teams aren't playing well either. The power play is 0-for-6 over the last two games after scoring 4 PP goals in Game 1. Mean while, the penalty kill is only operating at 69.2% in this series.
The Maple Leafs' group of star players – Auston Matthews, John Tavares, Mitchell Marner, etc. – have played to their potential, whereas the Lightning's group has been inconsistent. With a chance to seize a 3-1 lead and move one step closer to advancing to the second round, I don't see Toronto letting this opportunity pass it by.
Final Score Prediction:'Maple Leafs: 4 | Lightning: 3
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Best Bet
Taking the Over on the 6.5 -goal total is a no-brainer as the best bet. The Maple Leafs and Lightning have already combined for 26 goals this series, going over 6.5 in each contest. That trend has a great shot at continuing seeing as how the last nine Toronto-Tampa Bay matchups have all gone over tonight's total, averaging 7.7 goals per game during that span.
The Under might be favored, but it's clear that backing the Over is the right call.