Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9
Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

The Kentucky Wildcats (5-2) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (7-0) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Knoxville.

Tennessee are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Over/Under for Kentucky vs. Tennessee is 63.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Kentucky & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 68.9% confidence.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Will Levis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Will Levis has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jabari Small has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)

  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+15.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 35.48% ROI).

  • Kentucky is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 13.25% ROI
  • Kentucky is 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
  • Kentucky is 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee has gone 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 68.48% ROI
  • Tennessee is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

#19 Kentucky is 8-4 (.615) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373

#19 Kentucky is 9-3 (.562) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

#19 Kentucky is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

#19 Kentucky is 7-3 (.700) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

#3 Tennessee is 8-2 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .435

#8 Tennessee is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

#8 Tennessee is 2-13 (.118) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

#8 Tennessee is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Tennessee has gained 2,233 yards on 138 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — fifth-best among FBS skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

  
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