The Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) visit Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Missouri Tigers (4-4) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Columbia.
Kentucky are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Kentucky vs. Missouri is 42 total points.
Bet now on Missouri vs Kentucky & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Kentucky vs Missouri Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 53.5% confidence.
Kentucky vs Missouri Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Will Levis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+14.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+5.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI).
- Kentucky is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 4.33% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Kentucky is 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI).
- Missouri is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 2.29% ROI
- Missouri is 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Missouri is 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
#19 Kentucky is 8-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 12th-best in FBS; Average: .552
#19 Kentucky is 7-1 (.700) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462
#19 Kentucky is 11-2 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .510
#19 Kentucky is 8-2 (.533) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
Missouri is 2-6 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358
Missouri is 2-10 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361
Missouri is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Missouri is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413
Missouri’s WRs has gained 3,575 yards on 298 receptions (just 12.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-worst among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC defenses.