The Kentucky Wildcats (6-5) visit L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Louisville Cardinals (10-1) on Nov. 25 in Louisville.
Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Kentucky vs. Louisville Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 69.3% confidence.
Kentucky vs Louisville Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 67.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Louisville, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Louisville Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 95% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Devin Leary has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Barion Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Devin Leary has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.15 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Louisville Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisville players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ahmari Huggins-Bruce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jack Plummer has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jawhar Jordan has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jack Plummer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jamari Thrash has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Kentucky is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.35% ROI
- Kentucky is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Kentucky is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 13.17% ROI).
- Louisville is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 20.17% ROI
- Louisville is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Louisville is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Kentucky is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415
Kentucky is 15-5 (.682) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Kentucky is 18-8 (.621) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 28th-best in FBS; Average: .496
Kentucky is 15-10 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 24th-best in FBS; Average: .448
Louisville is undefeated (8-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .601
Louisville is 8-4 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– tied for 19th-best in FBS; Average: .495
Louisville is 12-6 (.632) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 37th-best in FBS; Average: .539
Louisville is 5-1 (.714) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Louisville has gained 2,394 yards on 172 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — best among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among ACC defenses.
Louisville has gained 2,394 yards on 172 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — tied for 18th-best among FBS skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 18th-worst among FBS defenses.