Kent State vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Kent State vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Kent State Golden Flashes (0-2) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -48.5 (-115).

The Kent State vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Kent State vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)

  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kent State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Iamaleava has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Kent State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
  • Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 28.99% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Tennessee is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Kent State is winless (0-11) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Kent State is winless (0-9) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .304

Kent State is winless (0-11) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Kent State is winless (0-11) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .448

Tennessee is 17-1 (.944) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Tennessee is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Tennessee is 9-2 (.692) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .524

Tennessee is 9-2 (.692) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .517

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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