The Kent State Golden Flashes (0-3) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (2-0) on Sep. 21 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -48.5 (-120).
The Kent State vs. Penn State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Kent State vs Penn State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Penn State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kent State vs Penn State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 70.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kent State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.15 Units / 2% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kent State Player Prop Bets Today
- Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent State is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.35 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kent State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Kent State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 28.13% ROI
- Kent State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -38.24% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI).
- Penn State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 33.33% ROI
- Penn State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Penn State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kent State is winless (0-11) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .392
Kent State is winless (0-11) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .426
Kent State is winless (0-11) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Kent State is winless (0-10) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Penn State is 11-1 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Penn State is 9-2 (.643) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .410
Penn State is 18-2 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .445
Penn State is 9-2 (.643) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .414
Penn State’s TEs has gained 183 yards on 12 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 450 attempts since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.