The Kansas State Wildcats (3-0) visit LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on the BYU Cougars (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Provo, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Kansas State vs. BYU Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs BYU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 70.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and BYU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas State vs BYU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jadon Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jayce Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best BYU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chase Roberts has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keanu Hill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.92% ROI).
- Kansas State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 33.61% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
- Kansas State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
BYU is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- BYU is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 107.78% ROI
- BYU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- BYU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kansas State is 9-3 (.643) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .441
Kansas State is 10-3 (.667) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .526
Kansas State is undefeated (7-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .589
Kansas State is 10-4 (.625) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .526
BYU is 2-6 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
BYU is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
BYU is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .292
BYU is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .506
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 96 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
BYU’s WRs has gained 648 yards on 40 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 14.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.