The Kansas State Wildcats (6-3) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Waco.
Baylor are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Kansas State vs. Baylor is 53.5 total points.
Bet now on Baylor vs Kansas State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 52.3% confidence.
Kansas State vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 67.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adrian Martinez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Deuce Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Adrian Martinez has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adrian Martinez has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ben Sims has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Blake Shapen has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+5.15 Units / 60% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 0% ROI).
- Kansas State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 3.26% ROI
- Kansas State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Baylor is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 5.48% ROI
- Baylor is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Baylor is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
#20 Kansas State is 8-2 (.727) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
#17 Kansas State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .560
#17 Kansas State is 6-4 (.600) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405
#17 Kansas State is 9-4 (.562) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439
Baylor is 12-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
Baylor is 11-2 (.647) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .424
Baylor is 16-2 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 6th-best in FBS; Average: .492
Baylor is 14-2 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422