The New York Jets (2-2-0) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (4-0-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in .
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Jets vs. Vikings Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 52.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Greg Zuerlein has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) |
54.5 -115 | 54.5 -120 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) |
25.5 -120 | 25.5 -110 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) |
80.5 -115 | 80.5 -115 |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) |
27.5 -120 | 27.5 -110 |
| Jordan Addison (MIN) |
39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) |
62.5 -120 | 62.5 -110 |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) |
53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -29.59% ROI
- Jets are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Jets are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-0 (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Vikings are 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 124.39% ROI
- Vikings are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Vikings are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Jets are winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
The Jets were 6-4 (.600) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jets were 1-3 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .142.
The Vikings are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .486.
The Vikings were 3-8 (.273) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.8% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jets have pressured opposing QBs on 29.7% of passing plays since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.