The New York Jets (5-10) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (5-10) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Foxborough, MA.
The Patriots are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Jets vs. Patriots Over/Under is 30.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Patriots Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 18 game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 84% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 5-10 (-5.8 Units / -33.53% ROI).
- Jets are 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -10.37% ROI
- Jets are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Jets are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots went 5-10 (-5.95 Units / -34% ROI).
- Patriots are 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -27.45% ROI
- Patriots are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Patriots are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Jets are winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Jets are 1-7 (.125) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Jets are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 defenses this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Jets are undefeated (3-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .670.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Patriots are winless (0-5) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .368.
The Patriots are winless (0-7) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Patriots are winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.