Up and down the NFL betting rollercoaster we go.'Last week'was my worst of the season for the column in terms of profit/loss, going 1-5-1 and dropping 8 units, putting us back into negative territory for the season. However, the 1 win was our best bet and largest wager of the week in terms of risk, which is an encouraging sign for our bankroll management. None of it matters anymore as we boldly dive headfirst into Week 16.'
As per usual, our oddsmaker pal Casey Degnon from Superbook offers his expertise as we highlight some of the most impactful injuries, trends and key matchups to watch this week. Please check my portfolio at the bottom for the official column plays.
Don’t miss our NFL Week 16 predictions
Week 16 market update: Which games have seen noteworthy line movement?'
Hopefully some of you are holding a Cowboys -1.5 ticket from our'“Early Birds” column this week. Since then, we've seen a ton of movement with this line with Gardner Minshew installed as the starting quarterback in place of the injured Jalen Hurts.'
“I think it’s around a 4-point move give or take,” said Westgate Senior Risk Supervisor Casey Degnon. “We basically went from like 1.5-2 up to 6 and now we’re down to 4.5. Philly is definitely live, we’ve taken some sharp money on the Eagles at 5.5 and 5.”
I jumped on the Cowboys bandwagon at 3 very early in the week when the Minshew steam started to move the market, and I will likely try to grab a 5.5 or 6 at some point this weekend if available.
Both of these teams are mirror images of each other in the trenches. Both have an elite pass rush, especially the Cowboys. Both have aggressive ball-hawking secondaries. Dallas is more vulnerable through the air while Philly can be run on.
I expect both offenses to have some success moving it, so I lean to the over, but I haven’t gotten to the window on the total yet. I also don’t feel comfortable recommending a play on the side with the number hovering between 3 and 6.'
Check out our Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys predictions
Detroit has won 7 straight against the number and look to be poised for a return to the postseason. However, the Lions were an underdog in 5 of those games, and the two they were favored in were by less than a field goal at home. Now Detroit finds itself in the rare position of being a road favorite, with the line touching 3 at some shops before being bought down earlier this week.'