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Jalen Hurts and his Philadelphia Eagles are 7-0 in September since 2022, and he looks to extend the team's longest September winning streak in franchise history in a Monday Night Football matchup against the Atlanta Falcons.
As part of our Week 2 NFL predictions, we have you covered with our Falcons vs. Eagles prediction. But we don't stop our deep drive there.
The Eagles coaching staff has a shiny new toy to play with after running back Saquon Barkley scored three total touchdowns in his team debut in Week 1. But our focus this week is on quarterback Jalen Hurts' player prop bets based on the Monday Night Football odds.
We will make the case for him to take some of the load of Barkley with his legs among our trio of best bets. You'll find more in our Falcons vs. Eagles MNF prop bets if you're looking for more.
Jalen Hu rts prop predictions for Monday Night Football
- Jalen Hurts Under 233.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ???
- Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown scorer (-105 via FanDuel) ????
- Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 interceptions (+105 via BetMGM) ???
NFL odds as of Sunday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Jalen Hurts player props
NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Hurts faces a Falcons pass rush that ranks last in the NFL over the last five seasons in sacks (138), sack percentage (4.4%), and pressure percentage (24%). However, Atlanta upgraded that unit by trading for Matthew Judon (who has the fourth-highest pressure rate of any pl ayer in the NFL over that span) and signing Justin Simmons.
The Under for Hurts' 1.5 passing touchdowns is juiced as high as -150 (carrying a 60% implied probability) at BetMGM. And while that is an entirely separate prop from his passing yards, Hurts has still thrown for 240 or fewer yards in four of the previous seven games that he has one or fewer passing touchdowns.
This line is down from an O/U of 240.5 entering the weekend, and I not only agree with the line move, but believe there is still value at this lower number. The line ticked down even further to 230.5 at FanDuel, so bettors are getting the best number and price at bet365, where a $10 winning wager would pay out $19.09.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Philadelphia made a conscious effort to get Barkley involved in his team debut, allowing him 24 carries and 26 total touches. But Hurts still ran 13 times, and I expect the Eagles to get back to their bread and butter with the bigger quarterback receiving the bulk of the goal-line carries in this matchup.
This is a four-star play. as the Falcons have allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs since the start of last season. Thus, I expect Hurts to see his number called, pull the ball more often on read options down by the goal line, and find paydirt for the first time this season.
Hurts has 10-plus rushing touchdowns in three consecutive seasons, so his implied probability being as high as 57.45% to cash this wager (based on DraftKings' -135 odds) makes total sense.
FanDuel previously had Hurts' anytime touchdown odds at -120 on Saturday, so we are getting bett er value now. A $10 winning wager would return $8.33 in profits.
Best odds: -105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.22%
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Had Hurts's odds to throw an interception been juiced to -110 or higher, I would have likely backed off this prop and looked for better value elsewhere. But with most of our best sports betting sites offering plus-money odds (and doubling your money on a winning wager), the play was too good to pass up.
Kellen Moore is Hurts' third offensive coordinator in the last three seasons, so the quarterback is still likely going through a learning curve early into his tenure.
And Hurts is prone to turnovers when pressured. Over the last two seasons, Hurts' QBR is fourth, and his interception percentage is sixth when not pressured, but his QBR drops to 15th, and his interception percentage is 37th (out of 38 qualified quarterbacks) when blitzed in that span.
The Falcons did not force the Pittsburgh Steelers into any turnovers in Week 1, but I am backing them to pick off Hurts at leas t once on Monday night. If they do, my $10 winning wager would return $10.50 in profits.
Best odds: +105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 48.78%
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Falcons vs. Eagles odds
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Falcons vs. Eagles
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 70 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph E
- Favorite: Eagles (-250 via BetMGM)
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